Sunday, June 13, 2010

Markets end marginally lower during the week

Markets ended marginally negative during the week, amidst sessions marked by volatility, with the Sensex and the Nifty ending lower by 0.3% each. BSE mid-cap index also witnessed a negligible fall of 0.1% during the week while BSE small-cap index ended flat, marginally outperforming their large-cap counterparts. The week witnessed mixed investor sentiment with positive global cues and robust IIP data cheering investors, while concerns over the cyclone delaying the monsoon acting as a deterrent in the initial part of the week. On the sectoral front, most of the major sectoral indices ended in red, with the BSE realty index losing the maximum of 4% followed by the BSE IT index losing 2.5%. However, BSE auto index gained the maximum of 1.6%, followed by the BSE healthcare index rising 1.5%.

BSE Auto Index - M&M and Bajaj Auto outperform

Robust May 2010 vehicle sales triggered BSE auto index to outshine consecutively in the second week of June with a gain of 1.6%, outperforming the BSE Sensex that declined 0.3%. Growth was largely driven by heavyweights M&M and Bajaj Auto, having weightage of 19.6% and 12.4%, respectively. M&M increased 3.3% during the week on the back of prediction of normal monsoon by the Meteorological Department. Bajaj Auto gained 5% on account of robust sales growth in May. Other index members, including Maruti and Hero Honda, also posted steady gains of 1-2% during the week, aided by strong volume numbers. However, CV majors such as Tata Motors and Ashok Leyland recorded marginal declines of 0.9% and 2.2%, respectively. We remain positive on the Indian auto sector. We estimate overall auto volumes to register a CAGR of around 10% over FY2010-12E, aided by improved economic environment for the sector. We remain overweight on Maruti Suzuki, M&M and Tata Motors.

Hotel Leela Venture (HLVL) - Initiating Coverage: HLVL is one of the key players in the premium segment of the hospitality industry in India. We estimate HLVL’s Top-line and PAT to register CAGRs of 41.6% and 57.9%, respectively, over FY2010-12E. Although HLVL’s financials are currently recovering, we believe EV/Room is the ideal parameter for valuing the company on which it is expensive as compared to its peers. Hence, we Initiate Coverage on the stock with a Neutral view.

RIL - Event Update: RIL has announced the acquisition of Infotel Broadband Services (P) Ltd promoted by Nahata Group. Key factors to watch out for RIL will be the execution and ramp-up of the broadband foray. At 1.8x FY2012E P/BV, we believe that RIL is relatively undervalued at current levels. We maintain a Buy view on RIL, with a Target Price of Rs1,260.

Orchid Chemicals - Event Update: Orchid Chemicals has announced entering into an agreement to acquire Karalex Pharma, the US-based generic marketing and sales service company, through an all-cash deal. We maintain a Neutral view on the stock.

No comments: